Research and Writing (Reverse Chronological Order):

• "Rationalizing Firm Forecasts" (joint w/ N. Bloom and R. Fletcher). NBER Working Paper 33384, March 2026.
  Presented: NBER SI Entrepreneurship, NBER Org. Economics, AEA, EFA, EEA-ESEM, Columbia/Wharton MAD, WMS.
• "Tracking American Scientists Across the Twentieth Century" (joint w/ G. Cristelli and M. Panunzi). SSRN 6387579, March 2026.
  
• "Technology, Firm Beliefs and Human Capital: Historical and Contemporary Evidence" Stanford Libraries, March 2026.
  
• "Tracking 20th Century Electronics Products Innovation: Electronics Buyers' Guides". SSRN 5999415, January 2026, Data Request, Kindly supported by an NBER I3 Fellowship.
• "The Widespread Adoption of Large Language Model-Assisted Writing Across Society" Cell Press: Patterns, Volume 6, Issue 12101366, December 12, 2025, also arXiv CS Working Paper 2502.09747v2 (joint w/ W. Liang, Y. Zhang, J. Wang, H. Cao, J. Zou). Editors’ picks: Best Papers of 2025. I am grateful to the Stripe Economics of AI Fellowshipw Program.
  Media: Forbes, Ars Technica, National Affairs, my favorite Reddit thread.
• "Tracing 140 Years of Innovation Through IEEE Membership Directories" IEEE USA Insights, October 2025. (joint w/ M. A. Hellrigel). Kindly supported by an IEEE History Center Travel Grant.
• "Do Start-Up Grants Help Start Up New Businesses? Evidence from Romania’s Start-Up Nation Program" (joint w/ I. Gavril, E. Krkoska, M. Zamfir). SSRN 5342962, July 2025.
• "Do Work Search Requirements Work?" (joint w/ T. Waters), IFS Working Paper, February 2023.
  Media: Guardian, Bloomberg, Yahoo! Finance, ITV, Evening Standard, Independent, Morning Star, Newschain, Daily Mail.
• "The changing generosity of the UK state pension system to the self-employed" (joint w/ R. Crawford, J. Cribb, C. Emmerson), IFS Report October 2020.
  Media: The Times (paywall), International Investment (paywall), IFS Retirement Consortium.
• "What Can Previous Recessions Tell Us About the Covid-19 Downturn?" (joint w/ B. Bell, S. Machin), LSE Briefing Note, August 2020.
  Media: Independent, Guardian, IER, LSE Blog, Evidence to UK Parliament.